Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 36.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Nelson 49.4% (-14.7%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 62.1%
Defensive zone
Newhook 58.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 70.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Newhook
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
49.9% (840)
-14.7%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
52.8% (89)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
28.6% (35)
+4.7%
On power play, Nelson has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Newhook is 36.1% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Newhook shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Newhook
Nelson
Home
38.1% (189)
49.8% (458)
Away
31.5% (203)
49.0% (506)
By Period
Newhook
Nelson
P1
33.9%
50.1%
P2
36.3%
45.4%
P3
33.8%
52.7%
Final 5 min
34.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
34.7%
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
49.4%