Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 45.6% vs Nelson 50.8% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
Newhook 61.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.4%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Newhook
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (174)
50.9% (928)
-7.2%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
59.8% (179)
-34.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
43.4% (205)
+6.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Newhook is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Newhook shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Newhook
Nelson
Home
45.4% (108)
52.9% (654)
Away
40.7% (86)
48.9% (658)
By Period
Newhook
Nelson
P1
39.0%
48.4%
P2
41.0%
54.3%
P3
50.0%
50.5%
OT
100.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
35.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
43.3%
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%