Alexander Kerfoot vs Casey Mittelstadt
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Mittelstadt 45.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.7%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 55.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 61.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
1
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
45.9% (351)
-0.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
47.3% (74)
+52.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
22.2% (27)
+12.6%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +52.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kerfoot is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Kerfoot shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Home
49.5% (107)
47.2% (193)
Away
32.4% (71)
42.9% (259)
By Period
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
P1
38.2%
49.0%
P2
47.4%
45.7%
P3
40.4%
38.8%
Final 5 min
33.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
42.7%
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |