Alexander Kerfoot vs Casey Mittelstadt
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Mittelstadt 47.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 67.1%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 61.3%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 50.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Last 6: Kerfoot 2-4 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
2
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
2
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
46.4% (935)
+4.0%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
50.3% (173)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
50.0% (16)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Home
51.4% (467)
47.7% (583)
Away
43.5% (395)
46.4% (541)
By Period
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
P1
49.1%
50.0%
P2
42.4%
46.2%
P3
52.7%
45.5%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.8%
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |