Alexander Kerfoot vs Casey Mittelstadt
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.7% vs Mittelstadt 45.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Kerfoot leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 51.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 73.5%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 64.0%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Last 10: Kerfoot 6-4 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
5
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
5
1
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
5
2
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (2,767)
45.0% (3,911)
+3.6%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
49.8% (660)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (381)
37.5% (96)
+2.4%
On even strength, Kerfoot has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,074).
Kerfoot shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,769).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Home
51.0% (1,760)
46.8% (2,314)
Away
44.0% (1,653)
44.4% (2,353)
By Period
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
P1
47.1%
46.7%
P2
45.6%
46.2%
P3
50.6%
44.0%
OT
29.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.6%
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |