Alexander Kerfoot vs Jack Hughes

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Alexander Kerfoot holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kerfoot 50.4% vs Hughes 39.5% (+14.6%)
Offensive zone Hughes 65.0%
Defensive zone Kerfoot 75.1%
Neutral zone Hughes 50.6%
Result Alexander Kerfoot favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Kerfoot Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kerfoot
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
36.7% (305)
+17.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
14.3% (7)
+85.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
33.3% (6)
-8.3%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +85.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kerfoot is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hughes
Home
41.7% (60)
35.8% (159)
Away
58.3% (72)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hughes
P1
53.8%
42.3%
P2
50.0%
28.2%
P3
47.8%
37.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
27.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%
53.0%
50.8%
Hughes
38.0%
37.0%
36.2%