Alexander Kerfoot vs Jack Hughes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Hughes 36.5% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 85.8%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 57.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 69.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Kerfoot
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kerfoot
Hughes
Last 8: Kerfoot 3-5 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Kerfoot
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
4
Kerfoot
Hughes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
36.0% (2,926)
+12.8%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
38.8% (224)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
31.0% (42)
+8.8%
On even strength, Kerfoot has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,125).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hughes
Home
51.0% (1,795)
36.8% (1,681)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
35.3% (1,511)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hughes
P1
47.4%
36.9%
P2
46.0%
33.4%
P3
50.5%
38.2%
OT
29.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 08:15 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |