Alexander Kerfoot vs Matt Duchene
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Duchene 52.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.1%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 54.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 51.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Kerfoot
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kerfoot
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
53.0% (723)
+0.1%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
49.5% (101)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
43.8% (16)
+4.4%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Duchene
Home
57.4% (235)
54.9% (408)
Away
47.9% (259)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Kerfoot
Duchene
P1
53.2%
52.5%
P2
53.3%
51.7%
P3
50.9%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
52.4%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |