Alexander Kerfoot vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Duchene 54.1% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 53.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 64.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 55.8%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Kerfoot
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Kerfoot
Duchene
Last 10: Kerfoot 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
5
Kerfoot
Duchene
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Kerfoot
Duchene
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
53.9% (10,438)
-5.1%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
57.0% (1,677)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
49.1% (468)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,125).
Kerfoot shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Duchene
Home
51.0% (1,795)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Kerfoot
Duchene
P1
47.4%
54.4%
P2
46.0%
54.5%
P3
50.5%
53.4%
OT
29.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |