Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Paul 53.9% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Paul 53.5%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 52.0%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Kerfoot
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
53.1% (710)
-2.7%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
57.3% (199)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
58.0% (69)
-18.8%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Paul
Home
51.4% (467)
56.0% (466)
Away
43.5% (395)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Kerfoot
Paul
P1
49.1%
57.2%
P2
42.4%
54.9%
P3
52.7%
51.5%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
54.3%