Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Paul 50.0% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Paul 51.5%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 50.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 50.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Kerfoot
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
48.8% (666)
+4.3%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
53.8% (65)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
60.0% (55)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Paul
Home
57.4% (235)
49.7% (348)
Away
47.9% (259)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Kerfoot
Paul
P1
53.2%
51.0%
P2
53.3%
47.4%
P3
50.9%
51.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.0%