Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 56.7%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 60.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Kerfoot
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kerfoot
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Kerfoot
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
51.3% (1,096)
-0.9%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
59.9% (157)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
56.9% (58)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Kerfoot is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Kerfoot shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Suzuki
Home
51.4% (467)
54.2% (638)
Away
43.5% (395)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Kerfoot
Suzuki
P1
49.1%
51.5%
P2
42.4%
53.3%
P3
52.7%
52.4%
OT
25.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.8%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |