Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 51.6%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 79.1%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 71.6%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 51.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Kerfoot
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kerfoot
Suzuki
Last 9: Kerfoot 4-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Kerfoot
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kerfoot
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
52.4% (981)
+0.7%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
50.7% (304)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
36.4% (33)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Kerfoot is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Kerfoot shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Suzuki
Home
57.4% (235)
53.2% (645)
Away
47.9% (259)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Kerfoot
Suzuki
P1
53.2%
48.9%
P2
53.3%
51.5%
P3
50.9%
54.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.4%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |