Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 70.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 70.5%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 63.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Copp
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Copp
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
55.4% (345)
-4.2%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
50.0% (4)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
35.3% (17)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Copp is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Copp shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Copp
Kastelic
Home
52.0% (348)
50.6% (162)
Away
49.1% (279)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Copp
Kastelic
P1
48.4%
61.5%
P2
50.2%
52.8%
P3
53.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
50.7%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |