Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Copp wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 80.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 60.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 58.7%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Copp
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Copp
Kastelic
Last 10: Copp 5-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
7
0
Copp
Kastelic
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
6
Copp
Kastelic
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
5
Copp
Kastelic
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
57.0% (1,635)
-4.6%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
80.0% (25)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
53.8% (279)
-8.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Copp is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,479).
Copp shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Home / Away
Copp
Kastelic
Home
52.7% (3,561)
58.7% (904)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Copp
Kastelic
P1
52.9%
58.6%
P2
51.7%
56.5%
P3
51.4%
55.6%
OT
39.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 07:41 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 10:36 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |