Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 78.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 73.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 53.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Copp
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Copp
Kastelic
Last 6: Copp 3-3 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Copp
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Copp
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
60.8% (362)
-6.4%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
83.3% (6)
-27.3%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
56.2% (146)
-10.4%
On power play, Kastelic has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Copp is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Copp shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Copp
Kastelic
Home
54.4% (441)
60.3% (242)
Away
53.4% (421)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Copp
Kastelic
P1
52.0%
58.9%
P2
55.8%
57.3%
P3
54.2%
64.0%
OT
20.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
60.7%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 07:41 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |