Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.4%). Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Carrick 53.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 62.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 59.0%
Neutral zone
Copp 51.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Copp
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Copp
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Copp
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
53.9% (521)
+0.2%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
57.1% (35)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
51.5% (229)
-9.3%
On power play, Copp has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Copp
Carrick
Home
51.9% (511)
52.7% (408)
Away
55.3% (490)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Copp
Carrick
P1
54.1%
51.4%
P2
54.2%
56.6%
P3
52.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.5%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |