Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.3%). Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Copp wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Carrick 52.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 71.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Copp
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Copp
Carrick
Last 10: Copp 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Copp
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
2
Copp
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
5
Copp
Carrick
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
52.2% (2,544)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
61.3% (75)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
50.8% (435)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Copp is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,479).
Copp shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Copp
Carrick
Home
52.7% (3,561)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Copp
Carrick
P1
52.9%
51.8%
P2
51.7%
52.3%
P3
51.4%
52.6%
OT
39.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |