Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Carrick 54.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 80.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 57.4%
Neutral zone
Copp 55.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Copp
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Copp
Carrick
Last 6: Copp 2-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Copp
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
55.5% (470)
-1.1%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
66.7% (3)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
50.0% (58)
-4.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Copp is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Copp shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Copp
Carrick
Home
54.4% (441)
58.6% (261)
Away
53.4% (421)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Copp
Carrick
P1
52.0%
55.9%
P2
55.8%
53.5%
P3
54.2%
55.6%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |