Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Hertl 55.4% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 64.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 71.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Copp
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
54.1% (717)
-2.9%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
61.9% (210)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
58.1% (31)
-10.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Copp
Hertl
Home
52.0% (348)
58.1% (492)
Away
49.1% (279)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Copp
Hertl
P1
48.4%
57.1%
P2
50.2%
54.0%
P3
53.4%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
50.7%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
55.9%