Andrew Copp vs Tomas Hertl

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Tomas Hertl holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Copp 53.5% vs Hertl 57.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Copp 66.0%
Defensive zone Copp 86.5%
Neutral zone Copp 72.5%
Result Andrew Copp favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Copp Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 6 (7 meetings)
1
6
Copp Hertl
Last 7: Copp 1-6 Hertl

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Copp Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Copp Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Copp Hertl
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Copp
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
58.7% (858)
-4.3%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
55.8% (285)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
62.9% (35)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +17.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Copp
Hertl
Home
54.4% (441)
60.1% (599)
Away
53.4% (421)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Copp
Hertl
P1
52.0%
52.4%
P2
55.8%
63.9%
P3
54.2%
58.5%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.7%
59.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%
51.5%
53.9%
Hertl
66.0%
61.0%
58.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 4, 2026 3 13:19 Defensive Andrew Copp
Mar 4, 2026 3 13:06 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Mar 4, 2026 3 09:04 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Mar 4, 2026 2 15:39 Defensive Tomas Hertl
Mar 4, 2026 1 16:51 Offensive Tomas Hertl
Mar 4, 2026 1 16:14 Neutral Tomas Hertl
Nov 4, 2025 3 06:40 Defensive Tomas Hertl