Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Hertl 54.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 25-13 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 66.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 80.8%
Neutral zone
Copp 68.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Copp
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
25
(38 meetings)
13
25
Copp
Hertl
Last 10: Copp 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
10
Copp
Hertl
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
Copp
Hertl
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
8
Copp
Hertl
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,488)
53.9% (8,290)
-1.5%
Power Play
57.8% (510)
59.3% (1,991)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (933)
46.3% (806)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,452).
Copp shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,945).
Home / Away
Copp
Hertl
Home
52.7% (3,561)
55.8% (5,365)
Away
51.0% (3,370)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Copp
Hertl
P1
52.9%
53.6%
P2
51.7%
54.1%
P3
51.4%
55.3%
OT
39.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.9%
Hertl
64.0%▲
60.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |