Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.9%). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Bennett 47.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 68.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 67.2%
Neutral zone
Bennett 52.7%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Cirelli
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cirelli
Bennett
Last 6: Cirelli 4-2 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
45.5% (756)
+0.9%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
63.0% (92)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
31.0% (29)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Bennett is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Bennett
Home
46.7% (478)
46.5% (456)
Away
46.4% (470)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Cirelli
Bennett
P1
46.6%
46.6%
P2
48.6%
50.5%
P3
44.3%
43.5%
OT
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.5%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |