Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.0%). Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Bennett 48.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 68.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 61.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 50.7%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Cirelli
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Cirelli
Bennett
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
4
Cirelli
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Cirelli
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
46.4% (811)
+3.7%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
56.9% (153)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
47.8% (46)
-11.1%
On power play, Cirelli has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Bennett
Home
53.0% (470)
49.9% (553)
Away
45.0% (509)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Cirelli
Bennett
P1
50.6%
47.4%
P2
49.2%
46.8%
P3
47.2%
48.9%
OT
30.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |