Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Bennett 47.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 26-23 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 57.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 72.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 57.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Cirelli
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
23
(49 meetings)
26
23
Cirelli
Bennett
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
7
10
Cirelli
Bennett
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
11
2
Cirelli
Bennett
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
8
11
Cirelli
Bennett
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
46.8% (5,714)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
53.6% (558)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
41.8% (256)
+2.0%
On power play, Cirelli has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Bennett
Home
49.6% (3,838)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Cirelli
Bennett
P1
49.9%
48.0%
P2
48.7%
46.5%
P3
49.3%
46.8%
OT
51.1%
54.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |