Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Carrick 53.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 78.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 51.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 59.0%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Cirelli
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cirelli
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Cirelli
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
53.8% (654)
-3.9%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
0.0% (2)
+54.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
63.9% (36)
-15.2%
On power play, Cirelli has a +54.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Carrick
Home
46.7% (649)
50.0% (328)
Away
53.5% (643)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Cirelli
Carrick
P1
50.1%
56.7%
P2
51.1%
51.1%
P3
48.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.1%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |