Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Carrick 54.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 77.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 50.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 60.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Cirelli
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cirelli
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Cirelli
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
55.5% (470)
-5.4%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
66.7% (3)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
50.0% (58)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Carrick
Home
53.0% (470)
58.6% (261)
Away
45.0% (509)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Cirelli
Carrick
P1
50.6%
55.9%
P2
49.2%
53.5%
P3
47.2%
55.6%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |