Who wins more faceoffs, Auston Matthews or Connor McMichael?

Auston Matthews leads the head-to-head 8-1 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Auston Matthews's faceoff record against Connor McMichael?

Auston Matthews is 8-1 against Connor McMichael in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-1, Defensive 2-0, Neutral 5-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Auston Matthews or Connor McMichael?

Auston Matthews is the predicted winner with a 94.9% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Auston Matthews vs Connor McMichael

Auston MatthewsL vs Connor McMichaelL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Auston Matthews holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Matthews 53.9% vs McMichael 43.3% (+11.0%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Matthews 96.9%

Defensive zone Matthews 90.9%

Neutral zone Matthews 95.7%

Result Auston Matthews favored at 94.9%

94.9%

5.1%

Matthews McMichael

Head-to-Head Record

8 - 1 (9 meetings)

Matthews McMichael

Last 9: Matthews 8-1 McMichael

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Even

Matthews McMichael

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Matthews

Matthews McMichael

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Matthews

Matthews McMichael

5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Matthews

McMichael

Edge

Even Strength

54.0% (9,298)

43.3% (1,583)

+10.7%

Power Play

55.5% (530)

46.0% (139)

+9.5%

Penalty Kill

49.8% (482)

37.5% (176)

+12.3%

On penalty kill, Matthews has a +12.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

McMichael shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).

Matthews shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).

Home / Away

Matthews

McMichael

Home

56.3% (5,065)

42.6% (976)

Away

51.5% (5,245)

43.3% (922)

By Period

Matthews

McMichael

55.5%

43.3%

53.3%

43.1%

52.8%

42.1%

56.6%

75.0%

Final 5 min

54.1%

42.6%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Matthews

70.0%▲

64.0%

53.9%

McMichael

38.0%▼

45.0%

42.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Dec 18, 2025	2	06:14	Defensive	Auston Matthews
Nov 28, 2025	1	01:14	Defensive	Auston Matthews
Mar 28, 2024	2	17:20	Offensive	Connor McMichael
Mar 28, 2024	2	16:04	Offensive	Auston Matthews
Mar 28, 2024	2	00:00	Neutral	Auston Matthews
Mar 28, 2024	1	00:00	Neutral	Auston Matthews
Mar 20, 2024	3	07:58	Neutral	Auston Matthews
Mar 20, 2024	2	19:35	Neutral	Auston Matthews
Mar 20, 2024	2	00:56	Neutral	Auston Matthews

Matthews's Profile | McMichael's Profile