Auston Matthews vs Nick Bjugstad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 24-17 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 75.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 81.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 72.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Matthews
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
24
(41 meetings)
17
24
Matthews
Bjugstad
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
8
6
Matthews
Bjugstad
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
8
Matthews
Bjugstad
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
7
10
Matthews
Bjugstad
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
48.6% (6,646)
+5.4%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
55.2% (829)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
44.3% (614)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Matthews
Bjugstad
Home
56.3% (5,065)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Matthews
Bjugstad
P1
55.5%
48.9%
P2
53.3%
49.1%
P3
52.8%
48.5%
OT
56.6%
61.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:05 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:07 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |