Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.3%). Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 54.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 57.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Hayton
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hayton
Zibanejad
Last 8: Hayton 3-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
4
Hayton
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
50.9% (913)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
59.0% (39)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
37.5% (160)
+4.9%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zibanejad
Home
47.4% (171)
51.1% (536)
Away
51.4% (247)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Hayton
Zibanejad
P1
49.6%
50.1%
P2
50.0%
47.3%
P3
49.0%
50.7%
OT
75.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
49.8%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |