Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 52.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 62.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 61.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Hayton
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Hayton
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Hayton
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
53.3% (807)
-0.9%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
47.6% (42)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
46.3% (147)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zibanejad
Home
56.8% (433)
49.8% (466)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Hayton
Zibanejad
P1
52.8%
52.9%
P2
50.3%
51.2%
P3
55.4%
51.7%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |