Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 57.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 71.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 61.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Hayton
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Hayton
Zibanejad
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
4
Hayton
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Hayton
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
52.9% (870)
-0.3%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
53.5% (43)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
46.2% (143)
+6.9%
On power play, Hayton has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zibanejad
Home
53.9% (516)
55.1% (501)
Away
54.4% (504)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Hayton
Zibanejad
P1
55.1%
57.5%
P2
55.0%
50.7%
P3
51.7%
47.9%
OT
69.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
54.1%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |