Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Coyle 52.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 56.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 66.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Lizotte
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lizotte
Coyle
Last 7: Lizotte 4-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
3
Lizotte
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
52.7% (849)
-0.2%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
66.7% (39)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
48.1% (131)
-6.7%
On power play, Coyle has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Coyle
Home
51.4% (383)
53.3% (512)
Away
50.9% (424)
51.9% (507)
By Period
Lizotte
Coyle
P1
48.8%
53.8%
P2
51.0%
47.8%
P3
53.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |