Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Coyle 48.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Lizotte
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lizotte
Coyle
Last 5: Lizotte 1-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Lizotte
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
2
Lizotte
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
49.5% (576)
+4.0%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
54.2% (48)
-54.2%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
43.4% (145)
-4.8%
On power play, Coyle has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Coyle
Home
52.0% (198)
47.4% (409)
Away
49.7% (149)
50.0% (360)
By Period
Lizotte
Coyle
P1
50.0%
50.8%
P2
50.9%
46.0%
P3
52.2%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.0%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |