Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Coyle 51.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 58.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 60.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 54.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Lizotte
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lizotte
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Lizotte
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
53.0% (1,046)
-5.1%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
57.6% (144)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
43.6% (287)
-2.3%
On power play, Coyle has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lizotte is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Lizotte shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Coyle
Home
48.8% (170)
54.5% (719)
Away
45.1% (195)
48.8% (758)
By Period
Lizotte
Coyle
P1
44.4%
51.1%
P2
53.3%
50.0%
P3
43.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
46.8%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |