Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 48.1% vs Staal 56.8% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Staal 54.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.0%
Neutral zone
Groulx 51.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Groulx
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (75)
58.9% (1,041)
-9.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
53.4% (73)
-53.4%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
49.1% (171)
-34.8%
On power play, Staal has a +53.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Groulx is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Groulx shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Groulx
Staal
Home
50.0% (56)
59.0% (578)
Away
37.0% (27)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Groulx
Staal
P1
48.0%
57.1%
P2
44.8%
60.9%
P3
44.8%
55.8%
Final 5 min
36.8%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.8%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%