Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 43.6% vs Staal 54.6% (-16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 69.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Groulx
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Groulx
Staal
Last 6: Groulx 3-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Groulx
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Groulx
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (87)
56.2% (989)
-13.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
66.0% (159)
-32.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
42.7% (253)
-17.7%
On power play, Staal has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Groulx is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Groulx shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Groulx
Staal
Home
53.8% (39)
55.4% (699)
Away
30.4% (79)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Groulx
Staal
P1
48.1%
55.7%
P2
38.6%
54.7%
P3
32.6%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
38.1%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |