Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 44.1% vs Staal 55.3% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.9%
Defensive zone
Groulx 54.8%
Neutral zone
Groulx 54.4%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Groulx
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Groulx
Staal
Last 10: Groulx 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Groulx
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
3
2
Groulx
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Groulx
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (393)
55.9% (14,654)
-11.1%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
62.7% (1,762)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (94)
47.9% (2,907)
-12.8%
On power play, Staal has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Groulx shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Home / Away
Groulx
Staal
Home
50.0% (244)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
36.1% (252)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Groulx
Staal
P1
45.1%
55.2%
P2
43.9%
55.9%
P3
40.4%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |