Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Aho 53.8% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 96.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 73.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 83.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
Groulx
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Groulx
Aho
Last 5: Groulx 4-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Groulx
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
3
0
Groulx
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (222)
51.2% (785)
-7.5%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
63.8% (213)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (48)
57.9% (57)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Groulx shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Groulx
Aho
Home
49.6% (129)
54.9% (548)
Away
39.0% (146)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Groulx
Aho
P1
43.6%
52.8%
P2
45.0%
58.9%
P3
43.4%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
36.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |