Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 43.6% vs Aho 50.5% (-12.4%)
Offensive zone
Aho 81.9%
Defensive zone
Groulx 73.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 55.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Groulx
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (87)
50.5% (878)
-8.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
53.5% (144)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
44.3% (61)
-19.3%
On power play, Aho has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Groulx is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Groulx shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Groulx
Aho
Home
53.8% (39)
53.8% (571)
Away
30.4% (79)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Groulx
Aho
P1
48.1%
49.0%
P2
38.6%
51.7%
P3
32.6%
50.3%
OT
0.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
43.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
38.1%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%