Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +21.6% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Mercer 37.5% (+21.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 68.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 81.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 66.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Horvat
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Horvat
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
35.4% (548)
+20.2%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
42.9% (35)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
0.0% (7)
+49.2%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +49.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Horvat
Mercer
Home
58.8% (724)
39.9% (283)
Away
55.3% (751)
31.3% (307)
By Period
Horvat
Mercer
P1
57.0%
37.7%
P2
57.5%
32.1%
P3
57.0%
37.7%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
57.0%
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |