Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Mercer 42.2% (+17.4%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 53.5%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.4%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Horvat
Mercer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (493)
39.0% (254)
+17.4%
Power Play
63.7% (168)
28.6% (7)
+35.1%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (83)
55.6% (9)
-11.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Horvat is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Horvat shoots left. Mercer is 35.8% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Horvat
Mercer
Home
58.8% (391)
34.1% (126)
Away
54.4% (353)
43.8% (144)
By Period
Horvat
Mercer
P1
61.2%
31.3%
P2
53.1%
44.0%
P3
55.1%
43.7%
Final 5 min
61.5%
35.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.7%
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
39.3%