Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Mercer 39.9% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 82.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 93.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 84.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 90.8%
90.8%
9.2%
Horvat
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Horvat
Mercer
Last 9: Horvat 6-3 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
2
Horvat
Mercer
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
Mercer
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
39.1% (1,412)
+14.8%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
41.1% (90)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
41.3% (46)
+5.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Home / Away
Horvat
Mercer
Home
56.1% (8,423)
40.1% (756)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
38.5% (792)
By Period
Horvat
Mercer
P1
54.1%
38.2%
P2
54.5%
39.2%
P3
55.0%
41.2%
OT
49.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |