Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Dowd 48.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 84.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 94.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 58.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Horvat
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Horvat
Dowd
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
1
Horvat
Dowd
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
7
Horvat
Dowd
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
5
Horvat
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
49.2% (778)
+4.3%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
58.3% (12)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
44.0% (234)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dowd
Home
54.2% (714)
46.3% (492)
Away
53.6% (705)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Horvat
Dowd
P1
53.5%
49.1%
P2
56.3%
48.2%
P3
53.5%
46.9%
OT
28.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
52.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |