Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 57 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Dowd 50.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 77-39 in 116 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 97.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 85.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 80.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Horvat
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
77
-
39
(116 meetings)
77
39
Horvat
Dowd
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
53
4
Horvat
Dowd
57 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
12
24
Horvat
Dowd
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
12
11
Horvat
Dowd
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
52.3% (6,036)
+1.6%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
56.1% (164)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
44.1% (1,638)
+3.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dowd
Home
56.1% (8,423)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Horvat
Dowd
P1
54.1%
51.5%
P2
54.5%
50.4%
P3
55.0%
50.3%
OT
49.6%
45.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |