Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Dowd 48.6% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 97.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 52.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 87.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Horvat
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Horvat
Dowd
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Horvat
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
51.0% (671)
+4.7%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
0.0% (2)
+63.4%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
41.5% (224)
+7.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +63.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dowd
Home
59.4% (537)
48.2% (471)
Away
54.0% (544)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Horvat
Dowd
P1
59.9%
48.3%
P2
54.5%
46.8%
P3
56.1%
51.0%
OT
55.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |