Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Crosby 56.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 67.1%
Defensive zone
Crosby 57.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 68.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Horvat
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Horvat
Crosby
Last 10: Horvat 1-9 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
8
Horvat
Crosby
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
4
Horvat
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
56.2% (1,451)
+2.4%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
61.4% (293)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
55.3% (38)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Horvat
Crosby
Home
59.2% (684)
59.1% (939)
Away
57.0% (635)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Horvat
Crosby
P1
57.9%
54.9%
P2
55.4%
60.8%
P3
61.5%
55.4%
OT
53.8%
53.6%
Final 5 min
60.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
58.2%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |