Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Crosby 55.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 51.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 64.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 55.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Horvat
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
17
(38 meetings)
21
17
Horvat
Crosby
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
3
Horvat
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
4
Horvat
Crosby
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
10
Horvat
Crosby
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
53.3% (1,025)
+2.4%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
64.7% (249)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
60.0% (15)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Horvat
Crosby
Home
59.4% (537)
56.9% (675)
Away
54.0% (544)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Horvat
Crosby
P1
59.9%
55.1%
P2
54.5%
53.1%
P3
56.1%
58.5%
OT
55.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
59.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 00:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |