Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 78 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Crosby 53.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 124-108 in 232 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 71.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 61.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 58.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Horvat
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
108
-
124
(232 meetings)
108
124
Horvat
Crosby
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
26
52
Horvat
Crosby
78 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
44
23
Horvat
Crosby
67 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
38
49
Horvat
Crosby
87 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
52.8% (18,031)
+1.1%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
57.4% (4,741)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
47.0% (766)
+0.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Horvat
Crosby
Home
56.1% (8,423)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Horvat
Crosby
P1
54.1%
53.6%
P2
54.5%
53.8%
P3
55.0%
53.3%
OT
49.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 00:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |