Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +32.9% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Toffoli 45.5% (+32.9%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 55.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 68.1%
Neutral zone
Toffoli 52.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Horvat
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
25.0% (20)
+30.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
0.0% (1)
+48.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Toffoli is 26.7% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Horvat
Toffoli
Home
59.4% (537)
20.0% (10)
Away
54.0% (544)
27.3% (11)
By Period
Horvat
Toffoli
P1
59.9%
80.0%
P2
54.5%
14.3%
P3
56.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
23.8%